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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: February 9th, 2025

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  • Being a doomer is bad if you’re stating theories as facts while giving no supporting evidence. For example:

    • Why would withdrawn international relations result in right wing voting? Isn’t it more likely to fuel populist voting (not strongly attached to regressive or progressive policies)? What historical trends are you looking at? Just pasting the American flag onto the Weimar Republic based on vibes?
    • What makes you think the polling is temporary? Putting aside the topic of fair elections, voters who have been subjected to this administration’s chaos and are consistently polling negatively will turn on their heads and lick boots because of… Saber rattling? A weak passport? An (even more) destroyed economy? 300 million cases of Stockholm Syndrome? I’m really scratching my head here…
    • 1% by what metric? The collapse will drag out for 100 years? Wealth? The USA will be using stone age tools by the end of it? Population? Deaths? Quality of life? Deportations?.. It surely can get worse but 99% in almost any metric is absurd.

    I can’t even agree or disagree with you because your comments are so shallow that they can’t hold up to a discussion; ergo bad.


  • I mean, what would you suggest instead? Some system where a simple plurality can elect your fringe candidate? We could give the seat to whatever candidate Passes the Post First?

    What you’re describing has nothing to do with the voting system. If your candidate is so far to the fringe that they can’t overcome the gravity of the primary center then they should probably be in their own party. If the voting public wouldn’t rank them above all other weak moderates in the general then that’s a problem with your electorate and election funding rules.


  • More contrived rage bait about one of the handful prominent elected officials with something approximating a progressive platform. Spinning an uninformed reaction and one offhand remark into a full headline and story.

    I guess par for the course when you consider that the Axios is majority owned by Cox Enterprises who, at a glance, donated at 70% for Republicans and the rest to establishment Dems.

    Democrats might be a controlled opposition, but it helps to paint real opposition with the same controlled narrative.






  • Don’t get me wrong, they signed up to ooh-rah bomb brown people. But it hits a little different when, statistically, a portion of them are literally from these cities. There’s an insular camaraderie in the military and they’re pulled from a diverse background by design. You can’t just drop a battalion on a city and expect them to behave themselves like a Texas National Guard in Oregon.

    I’m also not claiming this is a good thing. A military junta doesn’t make for kind and benevolent rulers, but wouldn’t be bad in the same ways as the current administration.


  • He already functionally has full control of the country since there are no checks against him. Him getting a stamp of approval to ignore the rule of law doesn’t change anything except giving his lawyers more time to golf instead of pushing court papers.

    The real fight here is over optics. He’s very visibly cannibalising and deconstructing the federal government and forcing constitutional crisis by marching ICE/National Guard around peaceful streets. When he has his shiny insurrection papers he can now march out the military as well, which is the only way he can exert real political control. Stochastic terrorism and 20k ICE thugs can’t occupy a nation of 340 million.

    But the thing is the military isn’t ICE. They didn’t sign up to wander around Chicago arresting maids and line cooks. They need a real, genuine, convincing reichstag fire or armed opposition to keep those soldiers from wondering why they’re patrolling the streets and shooting dissidents for the emperor with no clothes. If you can’t convince them to be fully on board the maga train then it gets very difficult to hold your kangaroo court to purge the left. That is going to be much more interesting than any phony act or simple declaration of martial law.


  • I think a lot of people are buying into the image of white guy + tac vest + gun = ICE = fed = military. These things are in no way equal but it’s an important part of the administration’s plans for you to imagine they are.

    ICE is a big bark and a little bite. These people have minimal/no training, they are literally angry thugs on a power trip. Step back and actually think about the outrageous operations and headlines you see.

    They’re tough guys when they outnumber you or are tackling a 70 year old nanny, but when faced with a critical mass of opposition they tuck tail and run. The only thing they have going for them is the costume and a gun.

    Turns out that watching a bunch of conspiracy videos about how brown people ruin America doesn’t make you a tough guy. What actually does make you tough is years of drilling, specialized training, decades of institutional knowledge, engaging in real combat, etc. So we’re back to the eternal truth: the military are the true kingmakers of the state.

    In terms of personal safety you still need to watch out for ICE on the streets. However, in terms of political power they’re a paper tiger. They could never lock down a city or shut down an election without massive military support. Whether the military would lend that support is an open question, but certainly not without a compelling reason (beyond the POTUS decrees it)